Saturday 24 February 2018, 17:00
Vitality Stadium
Full time
48%
27%
24%
Home win
48.3%
Draw
27.5%
Away win
24.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.5% | 3.64 | — | — |
| Newcastle | 24.2% | 4.13 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.0% | 11.09 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.2% | 3.55 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.1% | 4.16 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.8% | 9.28 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.2% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
| No | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth / Draw | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Bournemouth / Newcastle | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Newcastle | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.0
|
7.5
|
4.1
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.7
|
13.0
|
6.1
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.3
|
9.2
|
4.6
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.7
|
4.6
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.8
|
1.7
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Newcastle
1-2
Bournemouth
Sep 2025
Bournemouth
0-0
Newcastle
Jan 2025
Newcastle
1-4
Bournemouth
Aug 2024
Bournemouth
1-1
Newcastle
Feb 2024
Newcastle
2-2
Bournemouth
Nov 2023
Bournemouth
2-0
Newcastle
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.