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Saturday 13 January 2018, 17:00 St James' Park Full time
1–1
HT 0–0
46% 30% 24%
Home win
46.1%
Draw
30.1%
Away win
23.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Newcastle 46.1% 2.17
Draw 30.1% 3.32
Swansea 23.8% 4.20

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.6% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.4% 8.07
Over 1.5 64.2% 1.56
Under 1.5 35.8% 2.79
Over 2.5 36.5% 2.74
Under 2.5 63.5% 1.57
Over 3.5 17.1% 5.83
Under 3.5 82.9% 1.21
Over 4.5 6.8% 14.81
Under 4.5 93.3% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.5% 2.35
No 57.5% 1.74

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Newcastle / Draw 76.2% 1.31
Newcastle / Swansea 69.9% 1.43
Draw / Swansea 53.9% 1.86

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.4
9.2
4.2
1.2
0.3
0.0
1
14.3
13.7
5.5
1.6
0.3
0.1
2
9.8
8.4
3.6
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
4.2
3.6
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.4
1.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Newcastle goals. Columns: Swansea goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.