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Sunday 10 September 2017, 18:00 Liberty Stadium Full time
0–1
HT 0–0
27% 27% 45%
Home win
27.5%
Draw
27.5%
Away win
45.1%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Swansea 27.5% 3.64
Draw 27.5% 3.64
Newcastle 45.1% 2.22

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.7% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.3% 11.98
Over 1.5 73.5% 1.36
Under 1.5 26.5% 3.78
Over 2.5 47.6% 2.10
Under 2.5 52.4% 1.91
Over 3.5 25.9% 3.86
Under 3.5 74.1% 1.35
Over 4.5 11.9% 8.39
Under 4.5 88.1% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.2% 1.92
No 47.8% 2.09

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Swansea / Draw 54.9% 1.82
Swansea / Newcastle 72.5% 1.38
Draw / Newcastle 72.5% 1.38

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.3
10.5
8.3
4.1
1.5
0.4
1
7.6
13.1
9.1
4.5
1.7
0.5
2
4.6
6.8
5.0
2.5
0.9
0.3
3
1.7
2.5
1.8
0.9
0.3
0.1
4
0.5
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Swansea goals. Columns: Newcastle goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.