Saturday 19 August 2017, 14:30
Liberty Stadium
Full time
19%
28%
53%
Home win
18.8%
Draw
27.8%
Away win
53.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | 18.8% | 5.31 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.8% | 3.59 | — | — |
| Manchester United | 53.3% | 1.87 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.2% | 8.93 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.4% | 3.00 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.8% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.2% | 5.21 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.9% | 12.70 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.1% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
| No | 57.6% | 1.73 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea / Draw | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Swansea / Manchester United | 72.2% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester United | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.2
|
14.8
|
11.5
|
5.7
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
7.4
|
12.7
|
8.9
|
4.4
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
3.1
|
4.6
|
3.4
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
0.8
|
1.2
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2018
Manchester United
2-0
Swansea
Apr 2017
Manchester United
1-1
Swansea
Nov 2016
Swansea
1-3
Manchester United
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.