Wednesday 17 May 2017, 21:45
St. Mary's Stadium
Full time
26%
32%
41%
Home win
26.3%
Draw
32.4%
Away win
41.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 26.3% | 3.80 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.4% | 3.09 | — | — |
| Manchester United | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.1% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 14.9% | 6.72 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 40.9% | 2.45 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 31.3% | 3.20 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 13.6% | 7.37 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 86.4% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.9% | 20.36 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.1% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
| No | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton / Draw | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Southampton / Manchester United | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester United | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
14.9
|
15.0
|
8.9
|
3.3
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
11.0
|
14.0
|
7.4
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
4.9
|
5.5
|
3.1
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.4
|
1.5
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2025
Manchester United
3-1
Southampton
Sep 2024
Southampton
0-3
Manchester United
Mar 2023
Manchester United
0-0
Southampton
Aug 2022
Southampton
0-1
Manchester United
Feb 2022
Manchester United
1-1
Southampton
Aug 2021
Southampton
1-1
Manchester United
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.