Saturday 13 May 2017, 17:00
Riverside
Full time
31%
35%
35%
Home win
30.7%
Draw
34.6%
Away win
34.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough | 30.7% | 3.25 | — | — |
| Draw | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | — |
| Southampton | 34.7% | 2.88 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 17.5% | 5.72 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 54.2% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 45.8% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 26.7% | 3.75 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 10.7% | 9.34 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.6% | 28.01 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 96.4% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 35.7% | 2.80 | — | — |
| No | 64.3% | 1.56 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough / Draw | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Middlesbrough / Southampton | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Draw / Southampton | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
17.5
|
14.7
|
7.2
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.5
|
14.2
|
6.2
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
6.2
|
5.7
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
1.8
|
1.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.