Sunday 7 May 2017, 15:30
Anfield
Full time
66%
20%
14%
Home win
65.7%
Draw
20.4%
Away win
13.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.4% | 4.89 | — | — |
| Southampton | 13.9% | 7.21 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.7% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.3% | 18.90 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.7% | 5.36 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.2% | 2.42 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 36.4% | 2.75 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.3% | 5.18 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| No | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool / Draw | 86.1% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Liverpool / Southampton | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw / Southampton | 34.3% | 2.91 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.3
|
3.7
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.7
|
9.7
|
4.1
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.0
|
9.8
|
4.4
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.9
|
7.1
|
3.2
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.3
|
3.8
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.8
|
1.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2025
Liverpool
3-1
Southampton
Nov 2024
Southampton
2-3
Liverpool
May 2023
Southampton
4-4
Liverpool
Nov 2022
Liverpool
3-1
Southampton
May 2022
Southampton
1-2
Liverpool
Nov 2021
Liverpool
4-0
Southampton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.