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Saturday 29 April 2017, 17:00 St. Mary's Stadium Full time
61% 23% 17%
Home win
60.6%
Draw
22.6%
Away win
16.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Southampton 60.6% 1.65
Draw 22.6% 4.42
Hull City 16.8% 5.95

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.8% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.2% 16.25
Over 1.5 79.0% 1.27
Under 1.5 21.0% 4.77
Over 2.5 55.2% 1.81
Under 2.5 44.8% 2.23
Over 3.5 32.9% 3.04
Under 3.5 67.1% 1.49
Over 4.5 16.7% 5.99
Under 4.5 83.3% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.8% 1.89
No 47.2% 2.12

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Southampton / Draw 83.2% 1.20
Southampton / Hull City 77.4% 1.29
Draw / Hull City 39.4% 2.54

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.2
4.6
2.4
0.8
0.2
0.0
1
10.2
10.8
4.8
1.5
0.3
0.1
2
10.6
9.9
4.6
1.5
0.3
0.1
3
6.9
6.5
3.0
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
3.4
3.2
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
1.3
1.2
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Southampton goals. Columns: Hull City goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.