Saturday 15 April 2017, 19:30
St. Mary's Stadium
Full time
31%
28%
41%
Home win
31.2%
Draw
27.9%
Away win
40.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 31.2% | 3.20 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.9% | 3.58 | — | — |
| Manchester City | 40.9% | 2.45 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.6% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.4% | 11.87 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.6% | 3.76 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.3% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.7% | 3.89 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.8% | 8.47 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.2% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| No | 47.3% | 2.12 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton / Draw | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Southampton / Manchester City | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester City | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.4
|
9.9
|
7.4
|
3.4
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
8.3
|
13.3
|
8.7
|
4.0
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
5.4
|
7.4
|
5.1
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.1
|
2.9
|
2.0
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.9
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2025
Southampton
0-0
Manchester City
Oct 2024
Manchester City
1-0
Southampton
Apr 2023
Southampton
1-4
Manchester City
Oct 2022
Manchester City
4-0
Southampton
Jan 2022
Southampton
1-1
Manchester City
Sep 2021
Manchester City
0-0
Southampton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.