Wednesday 5 April 2017, 22:00
Anfield
Full time
75%
15%
10%
Home win
75.3%
Draw
14.5%
Away win
10.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw | 14.5% | 6.89 | — | — |
| Bournemouth | 10.2% | 9.78 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.8% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.2% | 46.17 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 91.2% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 8.8% | 11.38 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 23.8% | 4.21 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 43.3% | 2.31 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 37.2% | 2.69 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| No | 37.8% | 2.65 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool / Draw | 89.8% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Liverpool / Bournemouth | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Draw / Bournemouth | 24.7% | 4.04 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.2
|
1.6
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
5.0
|
6.0
|
3.0
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.9
|
8.4
|
4.4
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.8
|
8.2
|
4.4
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
5.7
|
6.1
|
3.2
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
3.4
|
3.6
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Bournemouth
3-2
Liverpool
Aug 2025
Liverpool
4-2
Bournemouth
Feb 2025
Bournemouth
0-2
Liverpool
Sep 2024
Liverpool
3-0
Bournemouth
Jan 2024
Bournemouth
0-4
Liverpool
Aug 2023
Liverpool
3-1
Bournemouth
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.