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Saturday 1 April 2017, 14:30 Anfield Full time
3–1
HT 2–1
49% 24% 27%
Home win
49.0%
Draw
23.8%
Away win
27.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Liverpool 49.0% 2.04
Draw 23.8% 4.19
Everton 27.1% 3.69

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.3% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.7% 21.32
Over 1.5 83.5% 1.20
Under 1.5 16.5% 6.05
Over 2.5 62.0% 1.61
Under 2.5 38.0% 2.63
Over 3.5 39.7% 2.52
Under 3.5 60.3% 1.66
Over 4.5 21.9% 4.56
Under 4.5 78.1% 1.28

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 62.9% 1.59
No 37.1% 2.70

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Liverpool / Draw 72.9% 1.37
Liverpool / Everton 76.1% 1.31
Draw / Everton 51.0% 1.96

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.7
4.9
3.7
1.6
0.5
0.1
1
7.0
10.8
6.8
3.0
1.0
0.3
2
7.0
9.4
6.3
2.8
0.9
0.3
3
4.4
5.9
3.9
1.8
0.6
0.2
4
2.0
2.7
1.8
0.8
0.3
0.1
5
0.8
1.0
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Liverpool goals. Columns: Everton goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.