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Saturday 18 March 2017, 17:00 Goodison Park Full time
4–0
HT 1–0
73% 18% 9%
Home win
73.2%
Draw
17.5%
Away win
9.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Everton 73.2% 1.37
Draw 17.5% 5.70
Hull City 9.3% 10.79

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.9% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.1% 19.48
Over 1.5 81.5% 1.23
Under 1.5 18.5% 5.41
Over 2.5 59.1% 1.69
Under 2.5 40.9% 2.45
Over 3.5 36.8% 2.72
Under 3.5 63.2% 1.58
Over 4.5 19.6% 5.10
Under 4.5 80.4% 1.24

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.0% 2.13
No 53.0% 1.89

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Everton / Draw 90.7% 1.10
Everton / Hull City 82.5% 1.21
Draw / Hull City 26.8% 3.73

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.1
2.9
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
10.4
8.4
2.9
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
12.8
9.2
3.3
0.8
0.1
0.0
3
10.0
7.2
2.6
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
5.9
4.2
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
2.7
2.0
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Everton goals. Columns: Hull City goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.