Saturday 18 March 2017, 19:30
Vitality Stadium
Full time
57%
20%
23%
Home win
56.6%
Draw
20.2%
Away win
23.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.2% | 4.96 | — | — |
| Swansea | 23.3% | 4.30 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.5% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.5% | 40.36 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 90.5% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 9.5% | 10.49 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 25.4% | 3.93 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 35.0% | 2.85 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 71.2% | 1.41 | — | — |
| No | 28.8% | 3.47 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth / Draw | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Bournemouth / Swansea | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw / Swansea | 43.4% | 2.30 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.5
|
2.6
|
2.3
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
4.4
|
7.8
|
5.5
|
2.8
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
5.8
|
8.7
|
6.6
|
3.3
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
4.6
|
6.9
|
5.2
|
2.6
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
2.7
|
4.1
|
3.1
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
1.3
|
2.0
|
1.5
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.