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Sunday 16 April 2017, 15:30 The Hawthorns Full time
30% 26% 44%
Home win
29.9%
Draw
26.1%
Away win
44.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Brom 29.9% 3.35
Draw 26.1% 3.84
Liverpool 44.1% 2.27

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.5% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.5% 15.42
Over 1.5 78.4% 1.28
Under 1.5 21.6% 4.63
Over 2.5 54.2% 1.84
Under 2.5 45.8% 2.18
Over 3.5 31.9% 3.13
Under 3.5 68.1% 1.47
Over 4.5 16.0% 6.25
Under 4.5 84.0% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.8% 1.73
No 42.2% 2.37

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Brom / Draw 55.9% 1.79
West Brom / Liverpool 73.9% 1.35
Draw / Liverpool 70.1% 1.43

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.5
8.5
7.3
3.8
1.5
0.5
1
6.6
12.3
9.2
4.8
1.9
0.6
2
4.6
7.3
5.8
3.1
1.2
0.4
3
2.0
3.1
2.5
1.3
0.5
0.2
4
0.6
1.0
0.8
0.4
0.2
0.1
5
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: West Brom goals. Columns: Liverpool goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.