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Saturday 21 April 2018, 14:30 The Hawthorns Full time
15% 23% 62%
Home win
15.5%
Draw
22.9%
Away win
61.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Brom 15.5% 6.46
Draw 22.9% 4.37
Liverpool 61.7% 1.62

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.0% 1.07
Under 0.5 7.0% 14.34
Over 1.5 76.7% 1.30
Under 1.5 23.3% 4.30
Over 2.5 52.0% 1.92
Under 2.5 48.0% 2.08
Over 3.5 29.8% 3.35
Under 3.5 70.2% 1.43
Over 4.5 14.6% 6.87
Under 4.5 85.4% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.3% 2.03
No 50.7% 1.97

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Brom / Draw 38.4% 2.61
West Brom / Liverpool 77.1% 1.30
Draw / Liverpool 84.5% 1.18

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.0
11.5
11.6
7.3
3.5
1.3
1
4.8
10.9
9.8
6.2
3.0
1.1
2
2.3
4.4
4.2
2.6
1.3
0.5
3
0.6
1.2
1.2
0.7
0.4
0.1
4
0.1
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: West Brom goals. Columns: Liverpool goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.