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Saturday 31 March 2018, 14:30 Selhurst Park Full time
20% 22% 58%
Home win
19.6%
Draw
22.3%
Away win
58.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crystal Palace 19.6% 5.10
Draw 22.3% 4.49
Liverpool 58.1% 1.72

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.1% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.9% 20.49
Over 1.5 82.8% 1.21
Under 1.5 17.2% 5.80
Over 2.5 60.9% 1.64
Under 2.5 39.1% 2.56
Over 3.5 38.6% 2.59
Under 3.5 61.4% 1.63
Over 4.5 21.0% 4.76
Under 4.5 79.0% 1.27

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.9% 1.70
No 41.1% 2.43

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crystal Palace / Draw 41.9% 2.39
Crystal Palace / Liverpool 77.7% 1.29
Draw / Liverpool 80.4% 1.24

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.9
8.2
8.9
6.0
3.1
1.3
1
4.2
10.3
9.9
6.7
3.4
1.4
2
2.7
5.4
5.5
3.7
1.9
0.8
3
1.0
2.0
2.0
1.4
0.7
0.3
4
0.3
0.6
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.1
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Crystal Palace goals. Columns: Liverpool goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.