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Saturday 10 March 2018, 14:30 Old Trafford Full time
47% 27% 26%
Home win
47.5%
Draw
26.7%
Away win
25.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester United 47.5% 2.11
Draw 26.7% 3.74
Liverpool 25.8% 3.88

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.2% 1.09
Under 0.5 7.8% 12.75
Over 1.5 74.8% 1.34
Under 1.5 25.2% 3.97
Over 2.5 49.2% 2.03
Under 2.5 50.8% 1.97
Over 3.5 27.3% 3.66
Under 3.5 72.7% 1.38
Over 4.5 12.9% 7.77
Under 4.5 87.1% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.0% 1.89
No 47.0% 2.13

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester United / Draw 74.2% 1.35
Manchester United / Liverpool 73.3% 1.36
Draw / Liverpool 52.5% 1.90

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.8
7.0
4.2
1.5
0.4
0.1
1
10.4
12.8
6.5
2.4
0.6
0.1
2
8.6
9.4
5.1
1.8
0.5
0.1
3
4.5
4.9
2.6
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
1.7
1.9
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.5
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Manchester United goals. Columns: Liverpool goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.