Skip to content
Monday 5 March 2018, 22:00 Selhurst Park Full time
18% 27% 55%
Home win
17.6%
Draw
27.3%
Away win
55.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crystal Palace 17.6% 5.67
Draw 27.3% 3.67
Manchester United 55.1% 1.81

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.0% 1.12
Under 0.5 11.0% 9.12
Over 1.5 67.1% 1.49
Under 1.5 32.9% 3.04
Over 2.5 39.8% 2.51
Under 2.5 60.2% 1.66
Over 3.5 19.6% 5.10
Under 3.5 80.4% 1.24
Over 4.5 8.1% 12.34
Under 4.5 91.9% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.0% 2.38
No 58.0% 1.72

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crystal Palace / Draw 44.9% 2.23
Crystal Palace / Manchester United 72.7% 1.37
Draw / Manchester United 82.4% 1.21

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.0
15.0
12.0
6.1
2.3
0.7
1
7.0
12.5
9.0
4.6
1.7
0.5
2
2.9
4.4
3.4
1.7
0.7
0.2
3
0.7
1.1
0.8
0.4
0.2
0.1
4
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Crystal Palace goals. Columns: Manchester United goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.