Sunday 25 February 2018, 16:05
Old Trafford
Full time
42%
30%
27%
Home win
42.4%
Draw
30.3%
Away win
27.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
| Chelsea | 27.3% | 3.66 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.1% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.9% | 8.41 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 34.7% | 2.88 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 37.7% | 2.66 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 62.3% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.0% | 5.55 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.2% | 13.84 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.5% | 2.25 | — | — |
| No | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United / Draw | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Manchester United / Chelsea | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Chelsea | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.9
|
9.7
|
5.0
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.1
|
13.9
|
6.2
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.7
|
8.2
|
3.9
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.6
|
3.4
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Chelsea
0-1
Manchester United
Sep 2025
Manchester United
2-1
Chelsea
May 2025
Chelsea
1-0
Manchester United
Nov 2024
Manchester United
1-1
Chelsea
Apr 2024
Chelsea
4-3
Manchester United
Dec 2023
Manchester United
2-1
Chelsea
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.