Monday 5 February 2018, 22:00
Vicarage Road
Full time
14%
21%
66%
Home win
13.7%
Draw
20.5%
Away win
65.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 13.7% | 7.28 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.5% | 4.87 | — | — |
| Chelsea | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.5% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.5% | 18.32 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.1% | 5.22 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.7% | 5.34 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| No | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford / Draw | 34.3% | 2.92 | — | — |
| Watford / Chelsea | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw / Chelsea | 86.3% | 1.16 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.5
|
9.9
|
11.2
|
8.0
|
4.3
|
1.8
|
| 1 |
3.8
|
9.8
|
9.8
|
7.0
|
3.7
|
1.6
|
| 2 |
1.9
|
4.0
|
4.3
|
3.1
|
1.6
|
0.7
|
| 3 |
0.6
|
1.2
|
1.3
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2022
Chelsea
2-1
Watford
Dec 2021
Watford
1-2
Chelsea
Jul 2020
Chelsea
3-0
Watford
Nov 2019
Watford
1-2
Chelsea
May 2019
Chelsea
3-0
Watford
Dec 2018
Watford
1-2
Chelsea
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.