Wednesday 31 January 2018, 22:00
bet365 Stadium
Full time
43%
26%
31%
Home win
43.3%
Draw
25.5%
Away win
31.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 43.3% | 2.31 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.5% | 3.92 | — | — |
| Watford | 31.2% | 3.21 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.2% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.8% | 17.27 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.3% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.7% | 5.09 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.7% | 2.88 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.0% | 5.55 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| No | 39.9% | 2.51 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City / Draw | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Stoke City / Watford | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Watford | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.8
|
6.2
|
4.7
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
7.6
|
11.9
|
7.6
|
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.7
|
9.1
|
6.1
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
3.7
|
4.9
|
3.3
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.5
|
2.0
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.