Tuesday 2 January 2018, 22:00
Etihad Stadium
Full time
87%
9%
4%
Home win
87.0%
Draw
9.0%
Away win
3.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Draw | 9.0% | 11.08 | — | — |
| Watford | 3.9% | 25.36 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.1% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.9% | 53.85 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 8.1% | 12.37 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 22.1% | 4.52 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 41.1% | 2.44 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.9% | 2.05 | — | — |
| No | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City / Draw | 96.1% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Manchester City / Watford | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Draw / Watford | 13.0% | 7.71 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.9
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
5.3
|
4.1
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.5
|
6.6
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.8
|
7.6
|
2.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
9.3
|
6.5
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
6.3
|
4.4
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2022
Manchester City
5-1
Watford
Dec 2021
Watford
1-3
Manchester City
Jul 2020
Watford
0-4
Manchester City
Sep 2019
Manchester City
8-0
Watford
Mar 2019
Manchester City
3-1
Watford
Dec 2018
Watford
1-2
Manchester City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.