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Sunday 31 December 2017, 14:00 Selhurst Park Full time
11% 18% 71%
Home win
11.4%
Draw
18.1%
Away win
70.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crystal Palace 11.4% 8.77
Draw 18.1% 5.54
Manchester City 70.5% 1.42

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.7% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.3% 23.03
Over 1.5 84.0% 1.19
Under 1.5 16.0% 6.27
Over 2.5 63.1% 1.58
Under 2.5 36.9% 2.71
Over 3.5 40.9% 2.44
Under 3.5 59.1% 1.69
Over 4.5 22.9% 4.37
Under 4.5 77.1% 1.30

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.2% 1.88
No 46.8% 2.14

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crystal Palace / Draw 29.5% 3.39
Crystal Palace / Manchester City 81.9% 1.22
Draw / Manchester City 88.6% 1.13

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.3
8.7
11.0
8.7
5.2
2.5
1
2.9
8.5
9.5
7.6
4.5
2.2
2
1.5
3.5
4.1
3.3
2.0
0.9
3
0.4
1.0
1.2
1.0
0.6
0.3
4
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.1
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Crystal Palace goals. Columns: Manchester City goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.