Thursday 28 December 2017, 22:00
Selhurst Park
Full time
22%
24%
54%
Home win
22.2%
Draw
24.0%
Away win
53.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 22.2% | 4.51 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.0% | 4.16 | — | — |
| Arsenal | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.2% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.8% | 17.23 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.8% | 5.04 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.2% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.4% | 2.90 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.6% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.9% | 5.60 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
| No | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace / Draw | 46.2% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace / Arsenal | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Arsenal | 77.8% | 1.28 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.8
|
8.9
|
8.8
|
5.4
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
| 1 |
5.1
|
11.3
|
9.8
|
6.1
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
| 2 |
3.2
|
5.9
|
5.5
|
3.4
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
1.2
|
2.2
|
2.0
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Crystal Palace
1-2
Arsenal
Oct 2025
Arsenal
1-0
Crystal Palace
Apr 2025
Arsenal
2-2
Crystal Palace
Dec 2024
Crystal Palace
1-5
Arsenal
Jan 2024
Arsenal
5-0
Crystal Palace
Aug 2023
Crystal Palace
0-1
Arsenal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.