Friday 22 December 2017, 21:45
Emirates Stadium
Full time
42%
25%
33%
Home win
42.3%
Draw
24.6%
Away win
33.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.6% | 4.07 | — | — |
| Liverpool | 33.1% | 3.02 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.3% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.7% | 21.20 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.5% | 6.04 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 61.9% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 38.1% | 2.63 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 21.9% | 4.57 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| No | 36.0% | 2.78 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal / Draw | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Arsenal / Liverpool | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Liverpool | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.7
|
5.5
|
4.5
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
6.4
|
11.0
|
7.7
|
3.8
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
6.0
|
8.9
|
6.6
|
3.3
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
3.4
|
5.0
|
3.8
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
2.2
|
1.6
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Arsenal
0-0
Liverpool
Aug 2025
Liverpool
1-0
Arsenal
May 2025
Liverpool
2-2
Arsenal
Oct 2024
Arsenal
2-2
Liverpool
Feb 2024
Arsenal
3-1
Liverpool
Dec 2023
Liverpool
1-1
Arsenal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.