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Saturday 9 December 2017, 17:00 Selhurst Park Full time
38% 28% 34%
Home win
38.1%
Draw
27.7%
Away win
34.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crystal Palace 38.1% 2.62
Draw 27.7% 3.60
Bournemouth 34.2% 2.93

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.0% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.0% 12.45
Over 1.5 74.4% 1.34
Under 1.5 25.6% 3.91
Over 2.5 48.7% 2.06
Under 2.5 51.3% 1.95
Over 3.5 26.8% 3.73
Under 3.5 73.2% 1.37
Over 4.5 12.5% 7.97
Under 4.5 87.5% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.0% 1.85
No 46.0% 2.17

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crystal Palace / Draw 65.8% 1.52
Crystal Palace / Bournemouth 72.3% 1.38
Draw / Bournemouth 61.9% 1.62

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.0
8.5
5.9
2.5
0.8
0.2
1
9.1
13.2
7.9
3.3
1.1
0.3
2
6.7
8.4
5.3
2.3
0.7
0.2
3
3.0
3.8
2.4
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
1.0
1.3
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Crystal Palace goals. Columns: Bournemouth goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.