Monday 1 January 2018, 17:00
bet365 Stadium
Full time
42%
29%
29%
Home win
42.4%
Draw
28.6%
Away win
29.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.6% | 3.50 | — | — |
| Newcastle | 29.1% | 3.44 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.6% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.4% | 10.62 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.1% | 3.44 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 55.7% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.1% | 4.32 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.2% | 9.81 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.8% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| No | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City / Draw | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Stoke City / Newcastle | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Newcastle | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.4
|
8.6
|
5.1
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.0
|
13.6
|
6.9
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.0
|
8.7
|
4.7
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.6
|
4.0
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|