Saturday 16 September 2017, 17:00
St James' Park
Full time
52%
29%
19%
Home win
52.3%
Draw
29.1%
Away win
18.6%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.1% | 3.43 | — | — |
| Stoke City | 18.6% | 5.38 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.9% | 7.76 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 37.1% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 35.2% | 2.84 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.3% | 6.15 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.7% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.3% | 15.93 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | — |
| No | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle / Draw | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Newcastle / Stoke City | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Stoke City | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.9
|
8.0
|
3.1
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.2
|
12.9
|
4.4
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.7
|
8.4
|
3.0
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.4
|
3.9
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.9
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|