Saturday 9 September 2017, 19:30
bet365 Stadium
Full time
19%
31%
50%
Home win
18.7%
Draw
31.2%
Away win
50.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 18.7% | 5.33 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.2% | 3.20 | — | — |
| Manchester United | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84.4% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 15.6% | 6.42 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 29.8% | 3.35 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 12.7% | 7.90 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 87.3% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.5% | 22.39 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.5% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 35.1% | 2.85 | — | — |
| No | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City / Draw | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Stoke City / Manchester United | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester United | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
15.6
|
17.9
|
11.6
|
4.9
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
9.0
|
12.9
|
7.6
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
3.2
|
4.0
|
2.5
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
0.7
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2018
Manchester United
3-0
Stoke City
Jan 2017
Stoke City
1-1
Manchester United
Oct 2016
Manchester United
1-1
Stoke City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.