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Saturday 26 August 2017, 19:30 Old Trafford Full time
68% 21% 11%
Home win
68.1%
Draw
21.0%
Away win
10.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester United 68.1% 1.47
Draw 21.0% 4.77
Leicester 10.9% 9.15

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.5% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.5% 13.32
Over 1.5 75.1% 1.33
Under 1.5 24.9% 4.01
Over 2.5 49.8% 2.01
Under 2.5 50.2% 1.99
Over 3.5 27.8% 3.59
Under 3.5 72.2% 1.39
Over 4.5 13.2% 7.57
Under 4.5 86.8% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.7% 2.34
No 57.3% 1.75

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester United / Draw 89.1% 1.12
Manchester United / Leicester 79.0% 1.27
Draw / Leicester 31.9% 3.14

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.5
4.1
1.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
13.3
9.8
3.1
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
13.9
9.3
3.1
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
9.2
6.2
2.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
4.6
3.1
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.8
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Manchester United goals. Columns: Leicester goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.