Friday 11 August 2017, 21:45
Emirates Stadium
Full time
71%
17%
12%
Home win
70.9%
Draw
17.2%
Away win
11.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.2% | 5.81 | — | — |
| Leicester | 11.9% | 8.44 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.6% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.4% | 29.27 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.0% | 7.70 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 31.8% | 3.14 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 53.3% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 27.7% | 3.61 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| No | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal / Draw | 88.1% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Arsenal / Leicester | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw / Leicester | 29.1% | 3.44 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.4
|
2.5
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.1
|
7.8
|
3.6
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.6
|
9.3
|
4.5
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
8.2
|
7.9
|
3.9
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
5.2
|
5.0
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.6
|
2.6
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Leicester
0-2
Arsenal
Sep 2024
Arsenal
4-2
Leicester
Feb 2023
Leicester
0-1
Arsenal
Aug 2022
Arsenal
4-2
Leicester
Mar 2022
Arsenal
2-0
Leicester
Oct 2021
Leicester
0-2
Arsenal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.