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Saturday 13 May 2017, 14:30 Etihad Stadium Full time
72% 17% 11%
Home win
72.3%
Draw
17.1%
Away win
10.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester City 72.3% 1.38
Draw 17.1% 5.86
Leicester 10.7% 9.38

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.1% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.9% 25.84
Over 1.5 85.5% 1.17
Under 1.5 14.5% 6.89
Over 2.5 65.5% 1.53
Under 2.5 34.5% 2.90
Over 3.5 43.6% 2.29
Under 3.5 56.4% 1.77
Over 4.5 25.1% 3.98
Under 4.5 74.9% 1.34

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.0% 1.85
No 46.0% 2.18

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester City / Draw 89.3% 1.12
Manchester City / Leicester 82.9% 1.21
Draw / Leicester 27.7% 3.61

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.9
2.6
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
8.1
7.9
3.3
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
10.7
9.4
4.1
1.2
0.3
0.0
3
8.9
7.8
3.4
1.0
0.2
0.0
4
5.6
4.9
2.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
5
2.8
2.4
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Manchester City goals. Columns: Leicester goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.