Thursday 27 April 2017, 22:00
Etihad Stadium
Full time
43%
30%
27%
Home win
42.9%
Draw
29.6%
Away win
27.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.6% | 3.38 | — | — |
| Manchester United | 27.5% | 3.64 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.1% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.9% | 9.14 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.6% | 3.07 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.8% | 5.05 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.2% | 12.17 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.4% | 2.15 | — | — |
| No | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City / Draw | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Manchester City / Manchester United | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester United | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.9
|
9.2
|
4.9
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.4
|
13.8
|
6.4
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.6
|
8.5
|
4.2
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.7
|
3.7
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Manchester United
2-0
Manchester City
Sep 2025
Manchester City
3-0
Manchester United
Apr 2025
Manchester United
0-0
Manchester City
Dec 2024
Manchester City
1-2
Manchester United
Mar 2024
Manchester City
3-1
Manchester United
Oct 2023
Manchester United
0-3
Manchester City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.