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Saturday 23 December 2017, 17:00 London Stadium Full time
2–3
HT 1–1
46% 28% 26%
Home win
46.5%
Draw
27.8%
Away win
25.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham 46.5% 2.15
Draw 27.8% 3.60
Newcastle 25.7% 3.89

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.9% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.1% 11.01
Over 1.5 71.7% 1.39
Under 1.5 28.3% 3.53
Over 2.5 45.2% 2.21
Under 2.5 54.8% 1.83
Over 3.5 23.9% 4.18
Under 3.5 76.1% 1.31
Over 4.5 10.7% 9.36
Under 4.5 89.3% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.0% 2.00
No 50.0% 2.00

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham / Draw 74.3% 1.35
West Ham / Newcastle 72.2% 1.39
Draw / Newcastle 53.5% 1.87

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.1
7.8
4.4
1.5
0.4
0.1
1
11.4
13.2
6.4
2.2
0.6
0.1
2
8.9
9.1
4.7
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
4.3
4.4
2.3
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
1.6
1.6
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.5
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: West Ham goals. Columns: Newcastle goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.