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Sunday 3 December 2017, 18:00 Etihad Stadium Full time
88% 8% 4%
Home win
88.0%
Draw
8.4%
Away win
3.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester City 88.0% 1.14
Draw 8.4% 11.87
West Ham 3.6% 27.66

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 98.3% 1.02
Under 0.5 1.7% 59.21
Over 1.5 92.5% 1.08
Under 1.5 7.5% 13.39
Over 2.5 79.2% 1.26
Under 2.5 20.8% 4.81
Over 3.5 60.8% 1.65
Under 3.5 39.2% 2.55
Over 4.5 41.3% 2.42
Under 4.5 58.7% 1.70

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.8% 2.05
No 51.2% 1.95

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester City / Draw 96.4% 1.04
Manchester City / West Ham 91.6% 1.09
Draw / West Ham 12.0% 8.31

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
1.7
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
5.0
3.8
1.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
2
9.1
6.4
2.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
10.7
7.5
2.6
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
9.5
6.6
2.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
6.7
4.6
1.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
Rows: Manchester City goals. Columns: West Ham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.