Wednesday 13 December 2017, 21:45
St James' Park
Full time
30%
26%
44%
Home win
29.6%
Draw
26.4%
Away win
44.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 29.6% | 3.38 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.4% | 3.79 | — | — |
| Everton | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.1% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.9% | 14.56 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.6% | 4.42 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.3% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.5% | 3.28 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.0% | 6.65 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| No | 43.4% | 2.30 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle / Draw | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Newcastle / Everton | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Everton | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.9
|
8.9
|
7.4
|
3.8
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
| 1 |
6.9
|
12.5
|
9.2
|
4.7
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
4.7
|
7.3
|
5.7
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
1.9
|
3.0
|
2.3
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.9
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Newcastle
2-3
Everton
Nov 2025
Everton
1-4
Newcastle
May 2025
Newcastle
0-1
Everton
Oct 2024
Everton
0-0
Newcastle
Apr 2024
Newcastle
1-1
Everton
Dec 2023
Everton
3-0
Newcastle
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.