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Sunday 26 November 2017, 15:30 St. Mary's Stadium Full time
34% 30% 36%
Home win
33.8%
Draw
29.8%
Away win
36.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Southampton 33.8% 2.96
Draw 29.8% 3.36
Everton 36.4% 2.74

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.4% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.6% 9.47
Over 1.5 68.3% 1.46
Under 1.5 31.7% 3.15
Over 2.5 41.1% 2.43
Under 2.5 58.9% 1.70
Over 3.5 20.6% 4.86
Under 3.5 79.4% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.7% 11.52
Under 4.5 91.3% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.0% 2.08
No 52.0% 1.92

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Southampton / Draw 63.6% 1.57
Southampton / Everton 70.2% 1.42
Draw / Everton 66.2% 1.51

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.6
10.8
6.9
2.7
0.8
0.2
1
10.3
14.0
7.9
3.1
0.9
0.2
2
6.3
7.5
4.5
1.8
0.5
0.1
3
2.4
2.8
1.7
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
0.7
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Southampton goals. Columns: Everton goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.