Sunday 29 October 2017, 15:30
American Express Community Stadium
Full time
46%
32%
22%
Home win
45.6%
Draw
32.0%
Away win
22.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.0% | 3.13 | — | — |
| Southampton | 22.4% | 4.46 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 15.3% | 6.56 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 30.5% | 3.28 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 13.1% | 7.64 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 86.9% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.7% | 21.40 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.3% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
| No | 62.7% | 1.59 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton / Draw | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Brighton / Southampton | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Draw / Southampton | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
15.3
|
10.0
|
4.0
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.4
|
13.6
|
4.8
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.2
|
7.6
|
2.8
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.0
|
3.0
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Southampton
0-4
Brighton
Nov 2024
Brighton
1-1
Southampton
May 2023
Brighton
3-1
Southampton
Dec 2022
Southampton
1-3
Brighton
Apr 2022
Brighton
2-2
Southampton
Dec 2021
Southampton
1-1
Brighton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.