Saturday 16 September 2017, 14:30
Selhurst Park
Full time
40%
30%
30%
Home win
39.5%
Draw
30.0%
Away win
30.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.0% | 3.33 | — | — |
| Southampton | 30.5% | 3.28 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.9% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.1% | 9.01 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.5% | 5.12 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.1% | 12.41 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.6% | 2.14 | — | — |
| No | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace / Draw | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace / Southampton | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Southampton | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.1
|
10.0
|
5.6
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.9
|
14.0
|
6.9
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.8
|
8.1
|
4.2
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.2
|
3.3
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2025
Southampton
1-1
Crystal Palace
Dec 2024
Crystal Palace
2-1
Southampton
Apr 2023
Southampton
0-2
Crystal Palace
Oct 2022
Crystal Palace
1-0
Southampton
Apr 2022
Southampton
1-2
Crystal Palace
Dec 2021
Crystal Palace
2-2
Southampton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.