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Saturday 19 August 2017, 17:00 Anfield Full time
70% 17% 12%
Home win
70.4%
Draw
17.4%
Away win
12.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Liverpool 70.4% 1.42
Draw 17.4% 5.74
Crystal Palace 12.1% 8.23

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.5% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.5% 28.96
Over 1.5 86.9% 1.15
Under 1.5 13.1% 7.64
Over 2.5 68.0% 1.47
Under 2.5 32.0% 3.12
Over 3.5 46.4% 2.15
Under 3.5 53.6% 1.87
Over 4.5 27.5% 3.63
Under 4.5 72.5% 1.38

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.9% 1.73
No 42.1% 2.38

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Liverpool / Draw 87.9% 1.14
Liverpool / Crystal Palace 82.6% 1.21
Draw / Crystal Palace 29.6% 3.38

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.5
2.5
1.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
7.1
7.9
3.6
1.2
0.3
0.1
2
9.6
9.4
4.6
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
8.1
7.9
3.9
1.3
0.3
0.1
4
5.1
5.0
2.4
0.8
0.2
0.0
5
2.6
2.5
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
Rows: Liverpool goals. Columns: Crystal Palace goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.