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Sunday 21 May 2017, 17:00 Anfield Full time
74% 18% 8%
Home win
74.1%
Draw
18.1%
Away win
7.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Liverpool 74.1% 1.35
Draw 18.1% 5.51
Middlesbrough 7.7% 12.92

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.1% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.9% 14.43
Over 1.5 76.3% 1.31
Under 1.5 23.7% 4.22
Over 2.5 51.6% 1.94
Under 2.5 48.4% 2.07
Over 3.5 29.5% 3.39
Under 3.5 70.5% 1.42
Over 4.5 14.3% 6.99
Under 4.5 85.7% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.7% 2.58
No 61.3% 1.63

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Liverpool / Draw 92.3% 1.08
Liverpool / Middlesbrough 81.9% 1.22
Draw / Middlesbrough 25.9% 3.86

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.9
3.2
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
13.6
8.4
2.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
2
15.3
8.6
2.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
11.1
6.3
1.8
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
6.0
3.4
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
2.6
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Liverpool goals. Columns: Middlesbrough goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.