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Wednesday 14 December 2016, 21:45 Riverside Full time
29% 28% 43%
Home win
28.8%
Draw
28.4%
Away win
42.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Middlesbrough 28.8% 3.47
Draw 28.4% 3.52
Liverpool 42.8% 2.34

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.7% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.3% 10.76
Over 1.5 71.2% 1.40
Under 1.5 28.8% 3.48
Over 2.5 44.6% 2.24
Under 2.5 55.4% 1.81
Over 3.5 23.4% 4.27
Under 3.5 76.6% 1.31
Over 4.5 10.4% 9.64
Under 4.5 89.6% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.3% 1.99
No 49.7% 2.01

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Middlesbrough / Draw 57.2% 1.75
Middlesbrough / Liverpool 71.6% 1.40
Draw / Liverpool 71.2% 1.40

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.3
11.0
8.1
3.7
1.3
0.4
1
8.5
13.5
8.8
4.0
1.4
0.4
2
5.0
6.9
4.8
2.2
0.8
0.2
3
1.8
2.5
1.7
0.8
0.3
0.1
4
0.5
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Middlesbrough goals. Columns: Liverpool goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.