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Sunday 11 December 2016, 18:30 Anfield Full time
2–2
HT 1–2
82% 12% 7%
Home win
81.7%
Draw
11.5%
Away win
6.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Liverpool 81.7% 1.22
Draw 11.5% 8.67
West Ham 6.8% 14.75

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 98.2% 1.02
Under 0.5 1.8% 56.02
Over 1.5 92.4% 1.08
Under 1.5 7.6% 13.22
Over 2.5 78.9% 1.27
Under 2.5 21.1% 4.74
Over 3.5 60.3% 1.66
Under 3.5 39.7% 2.52
Over 4.5 40.9% 2.45
Under 4.5 59.1% 1.69

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.5% 1.71
No 41.5% 2.41

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Liverpool / Draw 93.2% 1.07
Liverpool / West Ham 88.5% 1.13
Draw / West Ham 18.3% 5.46

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
1.8
1.1
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
4.7
4.9
2.1
0.7
0.2
0.0
2
8.0
7.5
3.5
1.1
0.3
0.0
3
8.8
8.1
3.8
1.2
0.3
0.1
4
7.1
6.6
3.1
1.0
0.2
0.0
5
4.7
4.3
2.0
0.6
0.1
0.0
Rows: Liverpool goals. Columns: West Ham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.