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Saturday 3 December 2016, 19:30 London Stadium Full time
1–5
HT 0–1
19% 21% 59%
Home win
19.2%
Draw
21.4%
Away win
59.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham 19.2% 5.21
Draw 21.4% 4.67
Arsenal 59.4% 1.68

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.8% 1.04
Under 0.5 4.2% 23.72
Over 1.5 84.8% 1.18
Under 1.5 15.2% 6.56
Over 2.5 64.2% 1.56
Under 2.5 35.8% 2.79
Over 3.5 42.1% 2.38
Under 3.5 57.9% 1.73
Over 4.5 23.8% 4.19
Under 4.5 76.2% 1.31

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.1% 1.64
No 38.9% 2.57

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham / Draw 40.6% 2.46
West Ham / Arsenal 78.6% 1.27
Draw / Arsenal 80.8% 1.24

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.2
7.3
8.5
6.1
3.3
1.4
1
3.7
9.7
9.8
7.0
3.8
1.6
2
2.5
5.3
5.7
4.1
2.2
0.9
3
1.0
2.0
2.2
1.6
0.8
0.4
4
0.3
0.6
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.1
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: West Ham goals. Columns: Arsenal goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.