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Sunday 30 October 2016, 15:30 Goodison Park Full time
2–0
HT 0–0
65% 21% 14%
Home win
64.9%
Draw
21.2%
Away win
13.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Everton 64.9% 1.54
Draw 21.2% 4.71
West Ham 13.8% 7.23

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.9% 1.06
Under 0.5 6.1% 16.46
Over 1.5 79.1% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.9% 4.79
Over 2.5 55.4% 1.81
Under 2.5 44.6% 2.24
Over 3.5 33.0% 3.03
Under 3.5 67.0% 1.49
Over 4.5 16.8% 5.95
Under 4.5 83.2% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.3% 1.99
No 49.7% 2.01

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Everton / Draw 86.2% 1.16
Everton / West Ham 78.8% 1.27
Draw / West Ham 35.1% 2.85

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.1
4.1
2.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
10.7
10.1
4.0
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
11.6
9.8
4.1
1.2
0.2
0.0
3
8.0
6.7
2.8
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
4.1
3.5
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
1.7
1.4
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Everton goals. Columns: West Ham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.