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Friday 30 September 2016, 22:00 Goodison Park Full time
Everton
1–1
HT 1–0
Crystal Palace
54% 24% 22%
Home win
54.3%
Draw
23.7%
Away win
22.0%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Everton 54.3% 1.84 — —
Draw 23.7% 4.21 — —
Crystal Palace 22.0% 4.55 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.4% 1.06 — —
Under 0.5 5.6% 17.91 — —
Over 1.5 80.8% 1.24 — —
Under 1.5 19.2% 5.21 — —
Over 2.5 57.8% 1.73 — —
Under 2.5 42.2% 2.37 — —
Over 3.5 35.4% 2.83 — —
Under 3.5 64.6% 1.55 — —
Over 4.5 18.6% 5.39 — —
Under 4.5 81.4% 1.23 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.9% 1.73 — —
No 42.1% 2.37 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Everton / Draw 78.0% 1.28 — —
Everton / Crystal Palace 76.3% 1.31 — —
Draw / Crystal Palace 45.7% 2.19 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.6
5.0
3.1
1.2
0.3
0.1
1
8.7
11.1
5.9
2.2
0.6
0.1
2
8.7
9.8
5.5
2.1
0.6
0.1
3
5.5
6.2
3.5
1.3
0.4
0.1
4
2.6
2.9
1.6
0.6
0.2
0.0
5
1.0
1.1
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Everton goals. Columns: Crystal Palace goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Everton
W W W W L
Crystal Palace
L D W W W

Head to head

May 2026 Crystal Palace 2-2 Everton Oct 2025 Everton 2-1 Crystal Palace Feb 2025 Crystal Palace 1-2 Everton Sep 2024 Everton 2-1 Crystal Palace Feb 2024 Everton 1-1 Crystal Palace Nov 2023 Crystal Palace 2-3 Everton

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.