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Saturday 17 September 2016, 19:30 Goodison Park Full time
55% 27% 18%
Home win
55.2%
Draw
26.7%
Away win
18.0%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Everton 55.2% 1.81
Draw 26.7% 3.74
Middlesbrough 18.0% 5.54

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.9% 1.11
Under 0.5 10.1% 9.86
Over 1.5 69.0% 1.45
Under 1.5 31.0% 3.22
Over 2.5 42.0% 2.38
Under 2.5 58.0% 1.72
Over 3.5 21.3% 4.69
Under 3.5 78.7% 1.27
Over 4.5 9.1% 10.99
Under 4.5 90.9% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.9% 2.28
No 56.1% 1.78

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Everton / Draw 82.0% 1.22
Everton / Middlesbrough 73.3% 1.36
Draw / Middlesbrough 44.8% 2.23

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.1
6.7
2.9
0.8
0.2
0.0
1
14.1
12.4
4.6
1.2
0.2
0.0
2
11.7
9.2
3.6
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
6.1
4.8
1.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
2.4
1.9
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.8
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Everton goals. Columns: Middlesbrough goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.