Saturday 19 November 2016, 17:00
St. Mary's Stadium
Full time
25%
25%
50%
Home win
25.1%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
49.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 25.1% | 3.98 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.9% | 4.01 | — | — |
| Liverpool | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.9% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.1% | 16.49 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.5% | 4.88 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.5% | 2.99 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.1% | 5.84 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| No | 42.3% | 2.37 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton / Draw | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Southampton / Liverpool | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Liverpool | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.1
|
8.7
|
8.2
|
4.8
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
| 1 |
5.7
|
11.7
|
9.6
|
5.6
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
| 2 |
3.7
|
6.5
|
5.7
|
3.3
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
1.5
|
2.6
|
2.2
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.8
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2025
Liverpool
3-1
Southampton
Nov 2024
Southampton
2-3
Liverpool
May 2023
Southampton
4-4
Liverpool
Nov 2022
Liverpool
3-1
Southampton
May 2022
Southampton
1-2
Liverpool
Nov 2021
Liverpool
4-0
Southampton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.