Sunday 11 December 2016, 16:15
St. Mary's Stadium
Full time
38%
37%
24%
Home win
38.3%
Draw
37.2%
Away win
24.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 38.3% | 2.61 | — | — |
| Draw | 37.2% | 2.69 | — | — |
| Middlesbrough | 24.5% | 4.08 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 22.1% | 4.52 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 46.4% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 20.2% | 4.95 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 7.1% | 14.05 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 2.1% | 48.38 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 97.9% | 1.02 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 29.0% | 3.45 | — | — |
| No | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton / Draw | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Southampton / Middlesbrough | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Draw / Middlesbrough | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
22.1
|
13.2
|
4.5
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
18.3
|
13.2
|
4.0
|
0.9
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
8.5
|
5.5
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
2.5
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.