Sunday 22 October 2017, 15:30
Goodison Park
Full time
37%
27%
37%
Home win
36.7%
Draw
26.5%
Away win
36.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 36.7% | 2.72 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.5% | 3.77 | — | — |
| Arsenal | 36.8% | 2.72 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.6% | 15.23 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.8% | 4.59 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.9% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.6% | 3.16 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.8% | 6.32 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| No | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton / Draw | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Everton / Arsenal | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Arsenal | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.6
|
7.6
|
5.9
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
7.6
|
12.5
|
8.4
|
4.0
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
5.9
|
8.4
|
5.9
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
2.8
|
4.0
|
2.8
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
1.4
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Arsenal
2-0
Everton
Dec 2025
Everton
0-1
Arsenal
Apr 2025
Everton
1-1
Arsenal
Dec 2024
Arsenal
0-0
Everton
May 2024
Arsenal
2-1
Everton
Sep 2023
Everton
0-1
Arsenal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.